A collection of 3 posts
Trump Can Hold The Rust Belt (Part 1: Michigan)
Conventional wisdom and polling are that Democrats can regain the Rust Belt firewall in 2020 (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania). I built a Random Forest model called CE-VM to predict likely 2020 total votes (turnout) in every U.S. county. CE-VM predicts that~135M votes will be cast in 2020, up from
Believe Me When I Say To You, I Hope You Love a Trade War Too!
NLP Analysis of the President’s Tweets on Trade (With Some Inspiration From Russians by Sting) In Europe and America, There’s a growing feeling of hysteria. Markets are catching up to the staying power of the trade war. As I wrote on May 23rd here [https://complexityeverywhere.com/when-saying-and-doing-are-the-same-thing-in-a-trade-war/