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Summer of Our Discontent in Markets - Part 3

This is the third in a three-part series on the growing likelihood of a major transition in major markets. Part 1 focused on Macro Event Risk and Cycles. Part 2 discussed the application of popular complex systems Early Warning Signals (EWS) to assess a possible “critical transition&

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Summer of our Discontent In Markets - Part 1

Major equity and commodity markets are transitioning to risk-off. Many market observers rush to paint any downturn as the precursor to a 2008-style crisis. That does not appear to be in the cards. However, the odds of double-digit percentage downturns has risen. I am taking this view based on the