crude oil - Complexity Everywhere

crude oil

A collection of 3 posts

Oil and Inflation

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Oil and Inflation

Energy price increases seem to be a large part of CPI growth. Many analysts are calling for even higher oil and fuel prices this summer. Demand is increasing, for now, supply remains constrained, and politicians are mostly finger-pointing. Let's dig into Oil and Inflation.

Summer of Our Discontent in Markets - Part 3

Summer of Our Discontent in Markets - Part 3

This is the third in a three-part series on the growing likelihood of a major transition in major markets.Part 1 [https://complexityeverywhere.com/summer-of-our-discontent-in-markets-part-1/] focused on Macro Event Risk and Cycles. Part 2 [https://complexityeverywhere.com/summer-of-our-discontent-in-markets-part-2/] discussed the application of popular complex systems Early Warning Signals (EWS) to

Summer of our Discontent In Markets - Part 1

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Summer of our Discontent In Markets - Part 1

Major equity and commodity markets are transitioning to risk-off. Many market observers rush to paint any downturn as the precursor to a 2008-style crisis. That does not appear to be in the cards. However, the odds of double-digit percentage downturns has risen. I am taking this view based on the