complex systems The Prepared Are Planning for Victory Many are regretting not preparing for the disruptions they are now facing. What should you prepare for next? How about beating this thing. Some predictions: One or more of the dozens of antibody tests in development worksPrivate supply chains distribute these tests across the globeWestern democracies adopt reasonable, non-dystopian approaches
covid-19 There's Reason to be Optimistic About the COVID-19 War As much as I believe in an immediate national shutdown for 30-45 days with a complete economic backstop, that appears unlikely for now. America is not an autocracy, it is a federal republic. We have the most robust state and local government bureaucracy on the planet. A lot of power
complex systems The New COVID-19 Base Case is Shutdown, Suppression, Backstop the Entire Economy, Hammer & Dance The disruption caused by the virus is a surprise attack by an enemy. The enemy is invisible and strikes without warning. It snuck across our borders while we celebrated stock market highs and a Kansa City Super Bowl win. It is here, not far away on the shores of Normandy
coronavirus Who Shall Fight on the Beaches? The 2020 COVID-19 battle confirms that most global risk emanates from miscalculated, misguided, and increasingly autocratic actions of the world’s political class. The American people are not being spared. Our highest levels of government are embracing autocratic techniques in response to COIVID-19. In an era of private sector
