complex systems The Prepared Are Planning for Victory Many are regretting not preparing for the disruptions they are now facing. What should you prepare for next? How about beating this thing. Some predictions: One or more of the
complex systems The New COVID-19 Base Case is Shutdown, Suppression, Backstop the Entire Economy, Hammer & Dance The disruption caused by the virus is a surprise attack by an enemy. The enemy is invisible and strikes without warning. It snuck across our borders while we celebrated stock
complex systems US Stocks are set up for a dramatic surge into year-end While the long-term remains uncertain, the rest of 2019 should be very positive During the summer, I expressed a three-part argument here, here, and here, for a downward transition in
complex systems Summer of our Discontent In Markets - Part 2 This is the second in a three-part series on the growing likelihood of a transition in major markets. Part 1 focused on Macro Event Risk and Cycles. This post discusses
complex systems Summer of our Discontent In Markets - Part 1 Major equity and commodity markets are transitioning to risk-off. Many market observers rush to paint any downturn as the precursor to a 2008-style crisis. That does not appear to be
complex systems Will Investors Fall Out of Love with Stocks? Investor Portfolio Allocation to Equities Ever since reading about it here at the always insightful Philosophical Economics blog, I have been fascinated by the notion of Investor Portfolio Allocation to
