bitcoin - Complexity Everywhere

When Liquidity Goes to Zero in Crypto

Price history means nothing in markets when liquidity goes to zero. Crypto markets are about to come face to face with this moment.

bitcoin

Pessimism is Easy. Optimism is Less Easy. Preparedness is Downright Hard

It's easy to be pessimistic about markets. A clear bull case remains, but there are signals that suggest caution is the needed.

bitcoin

Bitcoin's Pandemic

Bitcoin and other cryptos may be on the verge of a much larger drop.

bitcoin

Bitcoin - Perhaps Not too Late to Be Early

As of this writing, Bitcoin prices in USD are about >250% year-to-date. I was wrong on my bearish view, last November. That post was full of well thought out underlying weaknesses in Bitcoin and a Random Forest model predicting a year-end 2020 price of around $9,000. It’s

bitcoin

Will You Give Thanks for Bitcoin?

After falling as much as 35% from late October levels, Bitcoin (BTC) is likely on the cusp of a dramatic + or – 50% move. BTC has price memory around 6,500, and a break below should take the market to 2018 lows around 3,000. A bounce could result in

bitcoin

Another Bitcoin Bubble?

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are back in the news this month as prices have doubled. Regular people should be wary of another Bitcoin bubble. Bitcoin is Not Digital Gold Many in the crypto community have latched onto the Bitcoin is a Digital Store of Value argument, something I first heard