Unexpected events in markets, technology, politics, and society

US Stocks are set up for a dramatic surge into year-end
complex systems

US Stocks are set up for a dramatic surge into year-end

While the long-term remains uncertain, the rest of 2019 should be very positive During the summer, I expressed a three-part argument here [https://complexityeverywhere.com/summer-of-our-discontent-in-markets-part-1/], here [https://complexityeverywhere.com/summer-of-our-discontent-in-markets-part-2/], and here [https://complexityeverywhere.com/summer-of-our-discontent-in-market-part-3/], for a downward transition in stocks: * Critical slowing down [https://en.wikipedia.org/
3 min read
Optimism is on the Menu; A Recession is Not
deep learning

Optimism is on the Menu; A Recession is Not

The yield curve has inverted, the trade war [https://complexityeverywhere.com/believe-me-when-i-say-to-you-i-hope-you-love-a-trade-war-too/] seems to be in early innings, and economic data is being revised [https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-created-500000-fewer-jobs-since-2018-than-previously-reported-new-figures-show-2019-08-21] downward. Forecasters are warning of a recession and even financial panic. CNBC has been replete with talk of markets in
10 min read